Senior Economist Sees Nashville Home Prices Stabilizing
Dr. Frank Nothaft, Vice-President and Senior Economist for mortgage giant, Freddie Mac,
viisted Nashville on Thursday last and spoke with local realtors including Jim and Cathy Wood.

Chief Economist Likes Nashville's real Estate Future
Dr. Nothaft said he expects Nashville Real Estate prices to stabilize over the next several month.
‘Nashville has seen a 10-13% drop in home prices while the rest of the country has seen a 30% price adjustment. More importantly Nashville Home prices are stabilizing and will rebound slightly in 2012.”
The economist further noted: ” I would put the chances of a Double Dip Recession at about 1 in 3″.
In regard to the future of housing prices in Nashville he said we should expect to see about 1% increase in Nashville home prices in 2012 and a long slow climb up from there.
The main drag on the home market has been the excess of “vacant” homes. Dr. Nothaft put that excess at about 600,000 homes nationwide, down from a high 2 years ago of 1 million excess vacant homes.
Charting those vacant homes produces a curve that exactly matches the nationwide home market.
Locally Realtors were bouyed by a very satisfying spurt of sales in August. We had predicted that based on the strong showing of Home Buyer Appointments for June and July. For the first time in 14 months those home showings had risen above the 2010 figures.
To see the Home Buyer Appointment for August click on this Link:
August 2011 Nashville Appointment Numbers.
Dr. Nothaft noted that the main game changer in Housing is unemployment. 55% of all mortgage delinquencies come from unemployment. Add to that figure, family trouble (divorce) and secondary loans ( Credit Cards) and you have 85% of the reasons for default on american mortgages.
Nashville home buyers should take away from Dr. Nothaft that housing prices may be at the bottom now. Nashville area home sellers should note that they “may” realize a 1 % price appreciation over the next 12 months.
For additional information on this meeting and the Nashville Real Estate Market- Email Jim@Jimwood.net
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